Two days before both the GFS and the Euro operational runs as well as many GFS ensembles showed a continuation across the Gulf toward Mobile. He half paid attention in a briefing and didn’t stay up to date on track changes. This was a really odd thing to highlight as every weather need who lives on the Guld and obsessively tracks models …
Two days before both the GFS and the Euro operational runs as well as many GFS ensembles showed a continuation across the Gulf toward Mobile. He half paid attention in a briefing and didn’t stay up to date on track changes. This was a really odd thing to highlight as every weather need who lives on the Guld and obsessively tracks models during hurricane season just thought "meh, he is a few days late on the updated operational runs". Trump is an idiot and lies a lot but this one instance was only an example of laziness.
How can it only be a result of laziness? I genuinely want to understand your point, as it seems clearly you know and remember the data better than me. Are you saying the sharpie drawing WAS accurate on the day he shared it? Or was it wrong by the time he shared it but was right prior to that?
It would have been accurate two days before. He half listened at a briefing, probably vaguely remembered some track ensembles he was shown ywo days before and filled in the rest. I live in Tallahassee and my house was wrecked in Michael and I obsessively monitor the operational models that NHS uses to issue forecasts during hurricane season. I saw Trump's briefing as it happened and my immediate thought was Trump hasn't been briefed in a maybe 2 days since he was about 5 model runs behind (models run every 6 hours). But everyone acted like he just made it up out of thin air but he was just referencing slightly old modelling. See tropicaltidbits.com run by hurrican expert FSU PhD Levi Cowan to look at operational forecasting models and see ensembles for current storms. You do realize spaghetti models go out longer than the NHS 5 day cone? He just wasn't aware the longer term.track guidance had changed significantly in a few days because he was bad at his job.
That's what I thought, and no, that doesn't just mean he's lazy. That means he's also insane. Instead of checking (or maybe he did check) and understanding he was wrong on the day, he got a fucking sharpie out. That's insane. It's not as though he merely MENTIONED Alabama was still in the path, he got out a sharpie because he couldn't feel 'wrong.'
This is a very minor thing in the big scheme of things but perfectly showcases his insanity.
Two days before both the GFS and the Euro operational runs as well as many GFS ensembles showed a continuation across the Gulf toward Mobile. He half paid attention in a briefing and didn’t stay up to date on track changes. This was a really odd thing to highlight as every weather need who lives on the Guld and obsessively tracks models during hurricane season just thought "meh, he is a few days late on the updated operational runs". Trump is an idiot and lies a lot but this one instance was only an example of laziness.
How can it only be a result of laziness? I genuinely want to understand your point, as it seems clearly you know and remember the data better than me. Are you saying the sharpie drawing WAS accurate on the day he shared it? Or was it wrong by the time he shared it but was right prior to that?
It would have been accurate two days before. He half listened at a briefing, probably vaguely remembered some track ensembles he was shown ywo days before and filled in the rest. I live in Tallahassee and my house was wrecked in Michael and I obsessively monitor the operational models that NHS uses to issue forecasts during hurricane season. I saw Trump's briefing as it happened and my immediate thought was Trump hasn't been briefed in a maybe 2 days since he was about 5 model runs behind (models run every 6 hours). But everyone acted like he just made it up out of thin air but he was just referencing slightly old modelling. See tropicaltidbits.com run by hurrican expert FSU PhD Levi Cowan to look at operational forecasting models and see ensembles for current storms. You do realize spaghetti models go out longer than the NHS 5 day cone? He just wasn't aware the longer term.track guidance had changed significantly in a few days because he was bad at his job.
That's what I thought, and no, that doesn't just mean he's lazy. That means he's also insane. Instead of checking (or maybe he did check) and understanding he was wrong on the day, he got a fucking sharpie out. That's insane. It's not as though he merely MENTIONED Alabama was still in the path, he got out a sharpie because he couldn't feel 'wrong.'
This is a very minor thing in the big scheme of things but perfectly showcases his insanity.